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(转自:研报虎)
分品类看,2025M5漂白纸及纸板出口金额高增,电子烟/纸箱类/弹簧床垫实现较快增速。
1)造纸:整体出口进一步好转,漂白纸及纸板需求高增(+75%),纸箱类实现快速增长(+16%),纸浆、纸及其制品表现平稳(-1%);
2)家居:弹簧床垫双位数增长(+11%),卫浴表现稳健(+6%),褥垫/沙发/办公桌椅/PVC地板同比均出现不同程度下滑(-14%/-19%/-30%/-18%);
3)其他:电子烟出口金额大幅提升(+34%),保温杯/塑料餐具等短期承压(-9%/-12%)。
风险提示:宏观经济波动、原材料价格波动、汇率波动、关税不确定性因素等。
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