【特约大V】岑智勇:中东局势紧张 恒指或低开

金吾财讯
23 Jun

金吾财讯 | 上周五恒指高开53.66点,开市水平亦为全日低位,之后指数反复向好,至 13:02 升至 23538.63点的全日高位,之后指数回软至 23400水平后略反弹,在尾市AO后抽高近百点,以近全日高位收市,全日波幅 247.23点。恒指收报 23530.48点,升292.74点或1.26%,成交金额 2224.23亿元。国指及恒科指分别升 1.38%及0.88%;三项指数都向好,以国指走势较佳。恒指以阳烛收市,若与前交易日走势一并参考,则谱成“身怀六甲”的待变形态。MACD熊差收窄;全日上升股份 994只,下跌 771只,整体市况偏好。中资金融股向好,中国平安(02318)及工商银行(01398)分别升 2.935%及2.819%,为升幅较大的国指成份股。阿里巴巴(09988)及腾讯(00700)分别升 1.545%及1.5%,是支持国指向好的动力之一。上周五美股三大指数个别发展,道指升,纳指及标指跌。不过,特朗普在周未晚上 (美国时间)就美军打击伊朗三处核设施发表全国讲话,指已摧毁伊朗的核浓缩能力。此举为中东局势带来不明朗因素,油价上扬。伊朗国会据报支持封锁霍尔木兹海峡,或会进一步影响石油贸易。夜期及ADR下跌,料恒指低开,支持参考 23350 / 23200 水平。若能守住,叠加“跨境支付通”开通带来之利好,指数有望反弹。信号股以下股份在金融资讯系统中出现信号,仅供参考。中远海运港口(1199)顺丰控股(6936)

笔者为香港证监会持牌人士,没持有上述股份,并为个人意见,不构成投资建议。

文:梧桐研究院分析员岑智勇

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