分析师:中东冲突或使美国夏季CPI升至4%

Blockbeats
Jun 23, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,6 月 23 日,包括 Ziad Daoud 在内的彭博经济公司分析师在一份报告中表示,随着美国总统特朗普暂停征收所谓对等关税的措施即将到期,地缘政治风险上升与未来几周关税可能升级交织在一起。中东冲突旷日持久对经济的最大影响可能是油价飙升。在霍尔木兹海峡关闭的极端情况下,原油可能会飙升至每桶 130 美元以上。这可能使美国夏季的 CPI 接近 4%,从而促使美联储和其他央行推迟未来降息的时间。

报告称,石油或天然气价格的任何大幅上涨,或冲突进一步升级造成的贸易动荡,都将成为世界经济的又一掣肘。(金十)

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