中信证券研报指出,刚果(金)政府于6月21日宣布将钴出口临时禁令再延长三个月,这将导致6-12月份中国难以从刚果(金)进口钴湿法冶炼中间品。我们测算此举或影响刚果(金)2025年12.8万吨的钴出口量,或将使得2025年全球钴行业由供应过剩转为短缺7.8万吨,推动钴价开启第二波涨势。
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