高盛发表研报指,旅游行业各垂直领域最新数据显示,国内旅游需求保持健康,但价格呈现分化趋势,劳动节假期过后短途旅游出现季节性放缓,商务旅行需求则受到宏观不确定性影响而出现较大波动;长途旅游方面,航空客流量按年增幅维持于约6%。
该行指,一众航空公司及线上旅游平台(OTA)对即将到来的夏季旅游需求纷纷表示乐观,该行目前预测第三季国内及国际航空客流量将分别按年增长6%及19%。虽然有投资者或对OTA及澳门博彩业竞争加剧感到担忧,但高盛相信,京东-SW(09618.HK) (JD.US) 进军酒旅行业,短期内较难见到成效,更相信京东会优先投放资源以发展与核心零售业务协同性更高的外卖业务。
高盛表示继续偏好澳门博企及OTA行业,憧憬今年第二季澳门博彩收入增速将重新加快至约4%至5%,对比首季为1%增幅,加上6月至9月基数较低,全年博彩收入增幅预测可能获进一步上调,推动市场对行业盈测上调,目前仍看好银娱(00027.HK) 和金沙中国(01928.HK) ,均予“买入”评级。而在OTA中,高盛认为同程(00780.HK) 利润率更稳定,估值具吸引力,给予“买入”评级,目标价28.7元。
而在酒店行业中,高盛更偏好亚朵(ATAT.US) ,评级为“买入”。高盛并维持对中国中免(01880.HK) 的“中性”评级,目标价从47元降至46.2元,以反映海南免税销售逊预期。(gc/da)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-06-20 16:25。) (美股为即时串流报价; OTC市场股票除外,资料延迟最少15分钟。)
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