巴克莱银行经济学家认为“潜在的”非农民间部门就业成长(即在不导致工人短缺的情况下可以创造的额外就业数量)可能会从目前的每

智通财经
24 Jun
巴克莱银行经济学家认为“潜在的”非农民间部门就业成长(即在不导致工人短缺的情况下可以创造的额外就业数量)可能会从目前的每月超过10万个下降到明年年底的不到1万个。他们估计未来六个月内潜在就业成长将降至约6万个导致明年潜在经济成长率从目前的略高于2%降至仅1.4-1.6%。考虑到过去两年民间企业平均每月新增就业人数约为172000人这些数字就显得相当严峻了。巴克莱银行表示预计人口老化的影响将“很快加剧”给就业成长带来更大的下行压力。该行称这两股力量的综合影响“将对劳动力和经济活动的潜在成长造成重大且持续的阻力”。

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