消费增长新范式思考之三:70后至00后的新兴消费变迁史 是轮回还是演进?

国信证券
25 Jun

此轮新消费的崛起,本质上在于这次消费主力在不同于以往的经济社会背景下造就的消费理念发生重大变迁,复盘这轮消费变迁的底层背景来看:1)居民具备较高经济基础,我国人均不变价GDP从1995年突破万元至2023年8.4万元,买方市场已然确立;2)近些年居民消费能力受到三大件刚性支出和财富效应挤压,消费预算受限;3)95/00后人口素质精英化,1998-2023年本科毕业人数CAGR达10.5%,同时结婚...

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