大行评级|花旗:券商受惠家庭资产向股票重新配置 首选中金及中国银河

格隆汇
26 Jun

花旗表示,自去年9月24日中国人民银行推出证券、基金、保险公司互换便利(SFISF)以来,对房地产市场和消费产生积极影响,该行看到监管机构拟利用股市创造财富效应、促进家庭消费的信号。该行估计,股票投资占家庭总资产(574万亿元)的2.9%,相较于美国的24.7%为低。花旗看到多项政策努力推动家庭资产向股票重新配置。家庭资产配置中股票投资每增加1个百分点,将为股市带来超过5万亿元的资金流入。 得益于替代投资回报下降及监管机构支持恢复A股市场信心的政策,花旗认为上证综合指数有望突破先前高位3500点,进一步吸引家庭资产向股票重新配置。在这一正向反馈循环下,该行认为中国券商作为A股市场的代表将显著受益。该行偏好具有并购主题的大型券商及有望从香港IPO反弹中受益的券商,首选中金公司及中国银河。

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