【中金:若未来光伏行业预期修复,beta或有30%-50%级别的机会】中金表示,光伏行业6月排产普遍下调10%左右,7月需求或仍较弱,8月关注机制电价交易情况,届时IRR模型逐渐稳定、叠加传统旺季带来,需求有望修复。中期需求仍需观察十五五规划,长期看,我们认为能源转型背景下随着配套的电力市场化、电网建设、终端电气化等推进,需求有望进入下一个上行期。Beta层面,行业需求较弱但股价下行风险有限,若未来行业预期修复、beta或有30%-50%级别的机会;Alpha层面,建议关注具备功率差拉大的龙头组件、铜浆等新技术、硅料等弹性环节的供给端政策等。

金融界
Jun 26
中金表示,光伏行业6月排产普遍下调10%左右,7月需求或仍较弱,8月关注机制电价交易情况,届时IRR模型逐渐稳定、叠加传统旺季带来,需求有望修复。中期需求仍需观察十五五规划,长期看,我们认为能源转型背景下随着配套的电力市场化、电网建设、终端电气化等推进,需求有望进入下一个上行期。Beta层面,行业需求较弱但股价下行风险有限,若未来行业预期修复、beta或有30%-50%级别的机会;Alpha层面,建议关注具备功率差拉大的龙头组件、铜浆等新技术、硅料等弹性环节的供给端政策等。

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