大行评级|大华继显:香港收租股首选九龙仓置业 目标价上调至26.5港元

格隆汇
Jun 25, 2025

大华继显发表研究报告指,虽然香港零售销售下跌,以及空置率创新高,但该行仍然见到一些轻微改善的迹象,包括今年首季过夜旅客的开支及餐饮业的收入轻微上升。基于本地的流动性改善,加上市民短期对日本的兴趣下降,该行料夏季本地消费将有轻微改善,以致零售销售的跌幅可收窄。 该行将行业评级升至“与市场同步”,因预期香港市场流动性改善及美国即将减息1至2次,令今年整体市场利率会较去年低。而无风险利率较低可减少地产商财务成本及支持行业估值,更重要是该行预期本地零售销售将有轻微改善。股份方面,该行首选九龙仓置业,因其浮息贷款比例最高,且手持核心地区的高端资产,目标价上调至26.5港元,反映预期全年派息率达4.8%。领展目标价上调至48.48港元,预计2026财年每单位分派率为5.5%。而希慎目标价上调至15.43港元,反映全年股息率目标为7%。以上股份均获“买入”评级。

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