【券商聚焦】交银国际指首5月风/光抢装明显 预期下半年装机需求回归理性

金吾财讯
Jun 27, 2025

金吾财讯 | 交银国际研报指,中国内地光伏/风电5月单月新增装机同比大升388%/801%。 其中光伏新增装机更是创出了月度新高的92.9GW,风电新增装机26GW,为去年12月的94%。5月份的抢装在该机构预期之内,因政策节点时间影响项目电价的厘定方法。该机构指,1-5月内地风电/光伏累计新增装机量分别达到该机构预期的47%/73%,但目前该机构仍维持对2025年内的新增装机预测不变,但该机构认为光伏新增装机透支明显,预期风电12月仍是装机高峰。选股方面,该机构预期抢装后的新增发电量对在上半年业绩期内的贡献较少,投资者应较关心期内电价及利用率的同比下行幅度。目前该机构仍偏好股息率较高(>6%)的中国电力(02380/买入)及京能清洁能源(00579/买入)。

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