大行评级|瑞银:上调耐克目标价至63美元 上调2026至28财年盈测

格隆汇APP
Jun 30, 2025

瑞银发表研究报告指,耐克5月底止末财季业绩优于预期,其转势较该行预期更快。公司库存水平有所改善,销售增长展望也强于瑞银的预期,促使瑞银上调对其每股盈测,并基于2028财年每股盈测2.15美元约29倍计,将目标价从56美元上调至63美元,维持“中性”评级,因该行不确定耐克的基本面在未来12个月内能否持续显示二阶导数改善。另外,根据瑞银的分析显示,若美国对越南的关税税率从10%提高至25%,耐克的毛利率将受到约150个基点的负面影响。

瑞银对耐克2026、2027及2028财年每股盈测分别上调42%、16%和2%,主要基于该行对耐克销售前景更乐观;耐克表示能比瑞银预期更有效地缓解关税对毛利率的压力;基于更新的收入展望,瑞银预测固定成本去杠杆化程度降低。这些因素被更高的税率和较低的股票回购预测部分抵消。

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