东吴证券研报指出,泸州老窖理性应对转型阵痛,积极作为抢占机遇。伴随经济结构重心转向资金和技术密集型产业,公司必将主动融入高科技企业生态,并积极应对市场调整,实施一系列市场组合拳。公司对行业周期具有前瞻预判,已提前做数字营销、终端下沉等应对,库存及价盘管控保持稳健,本轮穿越周期能力显著强于2013~14年。考虑25Q2行业需求显著承压,下调2025~27年归母净利润预测为124、129、141亿元(前值138、149、165亿元),同比-8%、+4%、+10%,当前市值对应PE为13、13、12x,股息率突出,维持“买入”评级。
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