杰富瑞:英国财政前景不甚乐观

格隆汇
Jul 02, 2025

格隆汇7月2日|杰富瑞国际首席经济学家Mohit Kumar表示,英国政府面临着一个艰难的选择。我们对英国的财政前景持负面看法。我们对经济增速的预期远低于英国预算责任办公室(OBR)的预测,我们预计未来三年英国经济增长率为1-1.2%,而OBR的预测为1.7-1.9%。较低的经济增速将使英国财政大臣的财政计划变得不切实际。即使政府提高税率,我们也不认为增税能够带来政府所期望的那么多收入。因此,政府...

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