金吾财讯 | 方正证券研报指,金价走高+产销量增长+减值损失收窄+费用率下降,招金矿业(01818)释放高弹性业绩:2024年公司营业收入115.5亿元,同比+37%;归母净利润14.5亿元,同比+111%。25Q1公司营业收入29.4亿元,同比+52%,环比-21%;归母净利润6.6亿元,同比+198%,环比+16%。该机构指,海外并购+探矿找矿,实现黄金业务扩张;海域金矿是中国第二大单体金矿,该项目整体投产、达产后,预计年产黄金约 15-20 吨,有望晋升为中国最大的黄金矿山之一,进而为公司提供显着的业绩增量。同时,公司联手紫金矿业,参股中润资源,进一步扩大海外资产布局,后续伴随招金、紫金赋能,有望实现产量增长。 该机构续指,招金矿业保有的黄金资源量位居行业第3(1446吨)、2024年矿产金产量位居行业第4(18吨),均处于前列水平,资源禀赋优越。往后看,伴随海外资产发力+海域金矿投产,公司有望加速兑现资源潜力,增长空间显着。招金矿业持续展现优秀的黄金资源禀赋,在金价显着上行期间,伴随产销量增长与经营效率提升,利润得以顺利释放。往后看,公司拥有雄厚的黄金资源储备以及充足的黄金产量增长动力,有望持续受益于金价上涨。该机构预计公司 2025-2027 年可实现归母净利 32.18/37.23/51.10 亿元,同比增长121.81%/15.70%/37.26%,EPS 分别为 0.91/1.05/1.44 元/股,对应 PE分别为21.14X/18.27X/13.31X,首次覆盖,给予“推荐”评级。
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