花旗发表研究报告指,香港5月零售业总销货价值按年上升2.4%,终止连续14个月跌势,胜预期,首五个月零售销售跌幅收窄至4%。花旗认为,本地零售恢复增长主要受到五大因素推动,包括五一黄金周旅客量按年增长22%,5月份整体亦升20%;北上消费自去年第三季起稳定在每周末约57万至58万人次,负面影响已反映;上半年港元兑人民币及日元分别贬值3%及9%,利好本地消费;资本市场畅旺及HIBOR回落带来的财富效应;以及低基数影响。 该行预期零售销售止跌回升短期利好零售收租股,领展、九龙仓置业及希慎兴业等预期可受惠,同时相信6月零售数据可持续复苏。
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