广发证券研报指出，高质量人群覆盖+市场整合程度较高，分众传媒梯媒份额有望持续扩张。2025年以来，互联网大厂即时零售竞争加剧，分众梯媒设备置入了Wifi、iBeacon、NFC等，能够成为O2O的线下流量入口；支付宝推广“碰一碰”等功能与分众达成合作，有望看到大厂增加在分众的投放预算，并为分众拓展新的商家客户群体。考虑分众梯媒消费广告主投放具有较强韧性，支付宝“碰一碰”等合作有望带来增量，叠加点位租金下降预期，预计分众25-27年整体营收为130.47/139.10/148.13亿元，归母净利56.61/61.88/67.26亿元。估值方面，采用两阶段的DCF估值模型，认为分众传媒的合理价值为8.31元/股，维持“买入”评级。
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