BlockBeats 消息，7 月 3 日，HTX Research 研究员 Chloe（@ChloeTalk1）在 DeepThink 专栏中指出，比特币近日上涨至 109,500 美元，主要由期货市场未平仓合约（OI）增长 10% 至 32 亿美元推动，新增多头资金显著，市场动能回暖。
宏观方面，美国“小非农”ADP 数据意外下降（-3.3 万人），助推 7 月降息概率升至 27.4%，9 月降息 25BP 概率达 64%-72%。期权市场 Put/Call 比升至 0.72，104,000 美元为关键支撑位，114,000 美元为短期阻力。
Chloe 指出，市场正博弈两条路径：若非农数据延续疲软，或将触发比特币新一轮上涨；反之若数据强劲，或引发技术性回调。当前市场处于方向选择的敏感期。
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