正文报告导读:2025年1-4月全社会用电量增幅较弱导致火电需求下降4.1%,我们认为这可能是中期对于煤炭需求端压力最大的时刻,煤炭的需求底部已现。投资建议:○从全社会用电量的结构变化看用电核心产业变迁,经济对于电力的影响在快速削弱。过去二十年来,二产用电(主要是制造业)是拉动电力需求增长的核心,由于制造业与经济的强相关性,也造成了市场对于经济与电力需求强相关的固有概念。但我们观察到电力消费...
Source Link正文报告导读:2025年1-4月全社会用电量增幅较弱导致火电需求下降4.1%,我们认为这可能是中期对于煤炭需求端压力最大的时刻,煤炭的需求底部已现。投资建议:○从全社会用电量的结构变化看用电核心产业变迁,经济对于电力的影响在快速削弱。过去二十年来,二产用电(主要是制造业)是拉动电力需求增长的核心,由于制造业与经济的强相关性,也造成了市场对于经济与电力需求强相关的固有概念。但我们观察到电力消费...
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