分析:美国国债和美元的表现暗示美国例外论即将结束

格隆汇APP
Jul 04, 2025

格隆汇7月4日|Pictet Asset Management表示,美国经济和地缘政治领导地位的黄金时代——即美国例外论——即将结束。“随着美元和美国国债之间关系的破裂,我们看到了这种情况的第一个迹象,”Pictet说。从历史上看,美国国债收益率的走势与美元的走势相反。“只要出现动荡,全球投资者就会被美国国债和美元所吸引,从而推低收益率,推高美元。”然而,自特朗普宣布所谓的“解放日”关税以来,这种联系已经破裂,收益率上升,而美元走弱。

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