BlockBeats 消息，7 月 3 日，摩根大通交易部门模拟推演显示，若周四公布的就业数据与早前 ADP 报告的疲软态势相似，美国股市很可能出现大幅抛售。摩根大通设定了不同情景下的市场反应：
新增 8.5 万-10.5 万：标普 500 指数可能下跌 0.25%-1.5%；
低于 8.5 万：标普 500 指数恐暴跌 2%-3%；
报告警告：“在最坏情况下，市场将面临滞胀（经济增长乏力伴随高通胀）风险，届时财政和货币政策都可能束手无策。”报告特别指出：“只要非农数据高于 10 万，股市仍将获得支撑。”当然，就业数据也曾有过超预期表现，也可能再次出现这种情况。摩根大通预测：
新增 12.5 万-14.5 万：标普 500 指数或上涨 0.75%-1.25%；
超过 14.5 万：标普 500 指数涨幅可能扩大至 1%-1.5%。（金十）
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