港股异动 | 中国铝业(02600)现跌超3% 淡季供需格局偏弱 机构称低库存有助铝价维持高位

智通财经
Jul 07, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,中国铝业(02600)现跌超3%,截至发稿,跌3.15%,报5.23港元,成交额1.75亿港元。

消息面上,美国6月份的就业数据显示其经济韧性,市场对美联储的降息预期有所下调。国泰海通证券指出,淡季工业金属品需求走弱,铜铝加工环节开工率延续下滑,库存累积,供需格局偏弱。宏观层面,美国对等关税暂停期即将结束,关注海外铜挤仓方面变化,以及美关税对铜铝等工业品需求预期方面的影响,金属价格波动或加剧。

中信建投指出,今年以来铝板块的红利属性越来越被市场认可和重视,源于铝行业的盈利水平恢复并稳定在高位。今年1-5月国内电解铝消费增长4.9%,市场担心若按照全年2%的增长则下半年出现负增长。但是,即便全年按照2%消费增速看全球全年仍旧维持供需紧平衡,全球交易所库存处于历年低位,抵御供应干扰的能力弱,低库存能够有效抵御消费淡季的冲击,帮助铝价维持在高位运行,对应行业利润也在高位。

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