久期财经讯，7月8日，据悉，纽约联储和旧金山联储的研究人员认为，美联储不能假设其基准贷款利率未来不会再度降至零，并提到这一概率长期来看能有9%。研究团队在周一发布的博客文章中指出，未来七年内，联邦基金利率触及所谓“零利率下限”(ZLB)的概率为9%，而当前利率的高度不确定性加剧了这一风险。研究人员的分析基于与关键短期利率(如担保隔夜融资利率SOFR)前景挂钩的利率衍生品，这些利率通常与联邦基金利率...
Source Link久期财经讯，7月8日，据悉，纽约联储和旧金山联储的研究人员认为，美联储不能假设其基准贷款利率未来不会再度降至零，并提到这一概率长期来看能有9%。研究团队在周一发布的博客文章中指出，未来七年内，联邦基金利率触及所谓“零利率下限”(ZLB)的概率为9%，而当前利率的高度不确定性加剧了这一风险。研究人员的分析基于与关键短期利率(如担保隔夜融资利率SOFR)前景挂钩的利率衍生品，这些利率通常与联邦基金利率...
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