大行评级|美银:上调台积电目标价至260美元 看好其增长前景

格隆汇
08 Jul

美银发布研报,将台积电美股的目标价由220美元上调至260美元,台股目标价由1250新台币上调至1280新台币,对应2026年20倍市盈率,重申“买入”评级。该行认为,即使新台币的快速升值短期内会对毛利率和非经营收入构成压力,但这不会改变台积电的长期结构性利好。 美银指,对于台积电第二季业绩,预期收入或达到301亿美元,超越业绩指引,毛利率或录57.1%,处指引的下限。该行认为,台积电第二季盈利的重点关注领域包括:1)人工智能需求和先进封装前景;2)美国232条款贸易行动和外汇波动背景下的2026年初步定价策略和需求前景;3)2纳米制程的采用和扩展计划及4)“大而美法案”下在美国的投资计划。 美银表示,将台积电今年至2027年的盈利预测下调3.2%至5.3%,以反映汇兑问题为毛利率带来的压力。美银强调,仍然看好台积电的增长前景,这得益于先进制程节点的平均售价上升,以及更好的产品组合。该行预期,AMD、高通和联发科将在2026年实现显著增长,台积电的先进制程价格也预计增加7%至9%,抵销外汇相关的成本压力,并有助于毛利率复苏,而2027年的平均售价也或者会持续上涨。

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