金吾财讯 | 华泰证券发布交运行业次季业绩展望，交运2Q25业绩预计分化，航空/机场/集运/港口/客运铁路盈利同增，其余板块盈利偏弱。客运需求改善，盈利向好：1）航空供需格局改善兑现，叠加客座率和油汇向好，预计盈利明显改善；2）去年同期低基数下，机场盈利预计同增；3）旅游需求强劲，带动客运铁路盈利同增。货运需求与盈利均分化：1）关税扰动下，抢出口推动集运、港口盈利同环比增长；2）货运铁路需求较弱，但低基数下盈利平稳；3）油运运价在地缘扰动下先涨后跌，盈利同比下滑；4）国内电商快递竞争加剧，板块盈利承压；5）其余物流整体偏弱。展望3Q，该机构看好供需格局改善的航空板块和部分高股息个股。
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