Despite an already strong run, Meta Media Holdings Limited (HKG:72) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 12% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Meta Media Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
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For instance, Meta Media Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Meta Media Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Meta Media Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 15% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 12% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why Meta Media Holdings' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
Meta Media Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Meta Media Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Having said that, be aware Meta Media Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of Meta Media Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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