智通财经APP获悉，高盛发布研报称，继续看好中国石油股份(00857)及中国海洋石油(00883)，将中石油目标价由8港元升至8.3港元，将中海油目标价由20港元升至20.9港元，均予“买入”评级，预期两者2026财年自由现金流收益率(FCF Yield)均有双位数，收益率在同行中较高，且估值亦较国际同行平均水平低。假设布兰特油价为每桶60美元，两者收益率仍分别有10%及9%。
另外，该行维持中国石油化工股份(00386)的“中性”评级及目标价3.7港元，因预期集团自由现金流收益率较弱，基于化工行业持续过剩，以及资本开支高企，令该行更看好上游企业。
基于近期的地缘政治事件，次季布兰特油价已达每桶67美元，高于该行早前预计的65美元。而国有企业炼油厂的减产，加上独立炼油厂的低使用率，令本地油产品库存下降，以致在需求疲弱下，次季炼油利润仍高过预期。基于次季油价下跌20%，该行预期中石油及中石化净收入分别同比跌30%及46%，而中海油上半年净收入则跌16%。
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