新纪元期货投资内参:美元指数超跌反弹,有色金属板块承压回落

新纪元期货
Jul 07, 2025

  核心观点一览:

  1.美国方面将关税谈判的最后期限延长至8月1日,市场紧张情绪有所缓和。国内政策面接连释放利好,但企业盈利尚未显著改善,股指短线谨慎看待反弹,多单注意保护盈利。

  2.美国总统特朗普签署减税和支出法案,贸易谈判取得积极进展,多项重大协议接近达成。随着贸易局势和地缘风险缓和,避险情绪明显降温,黄金短线反弹后或延续调整,尝试短空。

  3.周一三大油脂共振下跌,7月8日、9日美国将召开生柴政策听证会,7月10日MPOB报告将出炉,重要事件节点前棕榈油短线交易。美豆产区天气良好,拖累国内双粕继续走低,豆粕短空持有;菜粕短线交易。

  4.市场情绪回落,利好消息逐步消化,周一日内黑色商品主力合约整体收跌,弱势盘整。螺纹钢、热卷供需基本面无实质性改善,铁矿石需求端尚有铁水产量支撑,焦煤、焦炭承压60日均线,玻璃、纯碱日内收跌超1%,黑色系品种主力合约短线仍以区间震荡运行为主,建议谨慎轻仓操作。

  5.周一沪铜主力2508合约跌幅1.12%,美联储降息预期降温,美元指数反弹,避险情绪升温,宏观氛围偏空,基本金属全线下跌。整体风险偏好持续回落,短线多空博弈加剧,重点关注关税政策指引,沪铜波段操作为主。多晶硅期货偏强运行,消息面扰动主导市场情绪,不过暂无细则文件出台,当前基本面依然较弱,多晶硅不宜过分追涨,短线期价受资金情绪影响或宽幅震荡,注意反复风险。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10