黄金股普跌 招金矿业(01818)跌6.10% 花旗指当前市场行情正呈现典型的“金发姑娘”特征​

金吾财讯
Jul 07, 2025

金吾财讯 | 黄金股普遍走低,招金矿业(01818)跌6.10%,山东黄金(01787)跌5.79%,中国黄金国际(02099)跌4.85%,紫金矿业(02899)跌2.85%,赤峰黄金(06693)跌2.71%,灵宝黄金(03330)跌2.49%。

花旗在最新研报中写道,当前市场行情正呈现典型的“金发姑娘”特征——风险偏好升温,股票、信贷和科技板块表现强劲,但债券市场表现相对温和。该行认为在“金发姑娘”市场环境中黄金通常表现不佳,而科技股和成长型股票是主要受益者。“金发姑娘”是指经济适度增长、通胀温和的理想宏观环境。花旗分析,“金发姑娘”通胀受抑制的环境意味着黄金失去避险吸引力并表现不佳。同时经济增长环境可能推高实际收益率和期限溢价,抬升增加黄金的持有成本。此外,数据显示,在历史“金发姑娘”时期,黄金的风险回报比(夏普比率)显著转负。

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