总量政策方面，东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青预计，考虑到外部环境波动对我国出口的影响可能在下半年集中显现，宏观政策将进一步强化逆周期调节，货币政策将在降低实体经济融资成本、引导金融机构加大货币信贷投放力度方向上进一步发力。下半年，央行可能再次实施降准降息，还可能综合运用中期借贷便利、买断式逆回购等政策工具，保持市场流动性充裕。
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