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　　RBC Capital Markets LLC认为，今年下半年全球石油供应的增幅将接近需求增幅的四倍，库存增加将令油价承压，预计布伦特原油明年将跌至每桶56美元附近。

　　分析师Brian Leisen等人在7月9日的报告中称，目前部分实物市场供应紧张，但该支撑因素可能逐渐消退。全球原油日产量在下半年料将增加230万桶，远超同期60万桶的日需求预期增幅。

　　RBC预计，布伦特原油今年第四季度均价为每桶56.50美元，2026年均价为56.25美元。伦敦市场布伦特原油期货最新报价位于每桶70美元上方。

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