金吾财讯 | 中国银河发研报指,认为5月开始工程机械步入淡季,6月内销同比和环比增速均恢复正增长,表明内需具备韧劲,中长期看,政府专项债和超长期特别国债、城市更新、城中村和危房改造,以及存量更新替换需求支持内需持续复苏。6月单月出口增速环比大幅提升13.9pct,6月小松印尼、欧洲开工小时数同比分别+6.5%和4.5%,我们认为今年印尼和非洲有望保持高增速,欧洲持平或降幅收窄,看好海外需求回暖及国内主机厂份额继续提升。虽然美国关税存在扰动,但是中国主机厂美国业务占比不高且凭借全球拓展有效对冲,有望顺应海外需求结构性回暖趋势并获得市占率提升。
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