大行评级|花旗:预计恒基地产短期内股价将出现调整 维持“买入”评级

格隆汇
Jul 10, 2025

花旗发表报告指,恒基地产拟发行80亿港元的可转换债券(CB),再融资似乎是其每年估计70亿至80亿港元资本支出(包括中环3号地盘:约20亿港元)的解决方案,但相较于其借款(2024年12月为860亿港元)或股东贷款(660亿港元)规模不大。其0.5%的票面利率相较于2024年4.2%的平均融资成本具有竞争力,估计可节省约3亿港元的年度利息支出(约占利润的3%),部分抵销最多4.4%的每股盈利摊薄影响。尽管如此,该行认为此次CB发行可能暗示对股权成本的低估,这对某些少数股东可能更为重要。 花旗表示,由于CB压力及上半年利润下降,预计恒地短期内股价将出现调整。投资者对进一步发行可转换债券或股权融资的担忧,亦为行业带来压力,特别是对较小型企业的信贷收紧。花旗预期,恒地2025年上半年利润按年下降30%至40%;中期每股股息稳定于50港仙。该行预测恒地全年每股股息稳定,基于股息后现金流达收支平衡,维持“买入”评级,目标价25.6港元。

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