摩根士丹利报告指,认为舜宇光学科技(02382.HK) 负面消息已经反映在股价中。随着智能手机和新业务部门的新产品推出,新一轮增长周期即将启动。评级由“与大市同步”升至“增持”,目标价由70元上调至90元。
舜宇今日高开3.52%,最高见76.15元。现报74.55元,升4.85%,成交754.22万股,涉资5.63亿元。
大摩表示,2025年前五个月,舜宇智能手机镜头模组(CCM)出货量按年减25%,智能手机镜头出货量亦下滑5%,导致许多投资者认为其全年出货量成长目标(分别为5-10%与5%)几乎确定无法达成,并预期出货疲弱将使2025年获利不如预期。然而,该行认为舜宇的产品组合优化与利润率回升,仍可持续支撑盈利复苏,因此将2025年净利润预测从34亿元人民币进一步上调至36亿元人民币。
大摩认为,折叠式智能手机出货量在2026至2027年有望迎来显著增长,而舜宇极有可能实现技术突破,从而驱动其智能手机业务收入增长。该行亦预计,舜宇2026至2027年新业务增长将由车用镜头与混合实境(MR)/智慧眼镜双引擎驱动,2025至2027年营收年复合增长率将超过25%,增速高于智能手机相关部门。因此,这些新兴业务的营收占比有望在2027年达到约40%。凭借这个强劲的第二成长引擎,该行认为舜宇极可能迎来估值重评。(ad/u)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-07-09 16:25。)
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