【4E:比特币维持高位震荡,ETF吸金效应持续放大】7月15日消息,根据4E观察,过去72小时内,比特币价格持续在历史高位附近震荡,市场情绪依旧乐观。截至2025年7月15日15:00(UTC+8),比特币现报118,730美元,近72小时波动区间维持在117,500至119,800美元之间,短期支撑稳固,显示出强劲的机构托底力量。 本轮强势行情的主因仍为美国现货比特币ETF的持续吸金。贝莱德iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)总持仓已突破70.4万枚BTC,市值逼近760亿美元。数据显示,仅周一(7月14日)就净流入约1.64亿美元,远超同期新发行债券的单日资金流入额,凸显加密资产对传统资金配置的吸引力。 与此同时,美股市场中与加密紧密相关的概念股表现强劲。MicroStrategy(MSTR)延续上周涨势,72小时内再涨约5.6%,Riot Platforms与Marathon Digital同样录得温和上涨。投资者对“链上持仓+ETF驱动”的双轮逻辑展现出持续信心。 宏观层面,美国国会“加密周”已正式展开,《CLARITY法案》《GENIUS法案》等多项立法审议正在进行,有望推动稳定币、资产托管等领域迎来制度突破。此外,美国6月CPI同比增幅降至2.8%,强化市场对年内降息的预期,也为风险资产提供了外部支撑。 4E提醒投资者:市场虽强,波动依旧频繁,建议密切关注ETF资金流与政策进展,合理控制杠杆水平。
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