金吾财讯 | 长江证券研报指,理想汽车(02015)加快布局超充站,缓解纯电续航里程焦虑。目前理想已经上线超过2500座超充站,自建高速超充站数量位居行业第一,并计划于今年年底达成4000座超充站的布局目标。策略方面,理想以纯电销量以及渗透率较高的长三角和大湾区等区域为重点,重点布局充电站,加大以上区域理想汽车纯电销售优势。此外重点发力高速路段,解决长途出现里程焦虑。增程式电动车消除续航、补能焦虑,但增程器侵占内部使用空间,纯电架构可提高汽车内部空间上限。理想i8沿用了MEGA的低矮溜背造型,有效降低风阻,同时取消前备箱有望获得比理想L8更大的内部使用空间。在动力续航和尺寸方面,理想i8同级别车型中均较为突出。加之理想i8搭载最新的VLA大模型,看好后续理想i8上市后表现。理想汽车产品优势和品牌设计深入人心,“双能战略”有望进一步扩大理想汽车的优势。后续新车型陆续上市将进一步完善理想产品矩阵,提升理想整体销量空间,高单车售价叠加规模效应有望保持较好盈利水平,预计2025-2027年归母净利润(GAAP)分别为83.0、124.3、156.6亿元,对应PE分别为25.5X、17.1X、13.5X,归母净利润(Non-GAAP)分别为103.0、144.3、176.6亿元,对应PE分别为20.6X、14.7X、12.0X,维持“买入”评级。
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