花旗发表报告,首次覆盖蓝思科技H股,给予“买入”评级,目标价为26港元(基于19.3倍2026年预测市盈率)。同时,花旗将蓝思科技A股的目标价由25元上调至32元,仍基于25.7倍市盈率,但改用2026年每股盈测,因折叠智能手机升级趋势的能见度提升。从估值角度出发,该行短期内偏好H股多于A股。 花旗重申蓝思科技将成为2026年苹果可能推出的折叠iPhone之关键受惠者。该行预估这款潜在的折叠iPhone将为蓝思科技2026及2027年营收分别带来5%和12%的贡献。此外,该公司还将受益于前盖板超硬涂层技术的应用、轻薄机型后盖物料价值的提升,以及在2025年下半年新款iPhone金属中框订单份额的增加。短期来看,由于关税政策变动所引发的供应链调整,iPhone的补库存需求有望为蓝思科技2025年第二至第三季的盈利表现提供支撑。 花旗预期蓝思科技的非苹果业务将成为市场情绪与长期增长的重要支撑。随着小米高端手机策略的推进,加上笔记型计算机新业务机会与智能零售支付终端设备的发展,该公司的组装业务可望持续成长。虽然人工智能智能眼镜与人形机器人仍属新兴业务领域,但该行看好其长期发展潜力。
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