智通财经APP获悉,招银国际发布研报称,基于现金流折现法(DCF)模型计,将巨子生物(02367)目标价从79.96港元降至73.54港元,对应预期2025年市盈率29倍,维持“买入”评级。
该行引述魔镜数据指,巨子生物于今年5至6月,旗下可复美与可丽金品牌在天猫淘宝及抖音合计实现GMV约10.8亿元人民币,同比增长2%;得益于首四个月的强劲销售,2025年上半年两品牌在天猫淘宝、抖音的合计GMV仍实现同比38%的快速增长。尽管受舆情影响短期线上销售增长势头减弱,但招银认为5至6月份的销售表现体现了在极端环境下,公司仍有较强的销售韧性。展望未来,招银认为可复美和可丽金的强大的产品力,优秀的使用体验是销售复苏的基础。
招银国际认为,巨子生物随着公司逐步恢复达播频次、加大推广力度,销售额将逐步复苏。此外,丰富的产品品类以及双品牌战略也加大了公司的抗风险能力。招银又认为,作为中国首家规模化生产重组胶原蛋白护肤品的企业,公司在胶原蛋白领域拥有深厚的技术积累,其强大的产品力和技术积累是销售复苏的基石。
招银保守估计,2025年下半年,巨子生物旗下的可复美及可丽金的线上收入将分别同比增长10%及35%,全年可复美线上收入增速约为20%,可丽金约为60%,线下业务保持稳健。招银预计公司2025年收入增速预测将放缓至23%。
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