西部证券研报指出，山东黄金预计25H1实现归母净利润25.5-30.5亿元，同比增加84.3%~120.5%，其中Q2现归母净利润15.2-20.2亿元，同比+122.8%~195.9%，环比+48.5%~97.3%。展望未来，去美元化+地缘政治博弈是驱动金价上涨的重要逻辑，目前多国央行也纷纷增加黄金储备，黄金正开启新一轮上涨周期，继续看好长牛。公司内生运营优化+增储扩产持续推进，矿产金产量有望持续增长。随着焦家金矿、新城金矿等胶东地区主力矿山矿权整合持续推进以及玲珑金矿的复产达产，预计公司矿产金产量有望进一步增长。公司计划2025 年黄金产量不低于50吨。考虑到近期黄金价格明显上行，预测公司25-27年归母净利润分别为69.22、84.80、94.88亿元，PB分别为3.2、2.7、2.3倍，维持“买入”评级。
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