周三亚洲尾盘,美原油9月期货谨慎交投于65.60美元附近。由于全球贸易紧张局势持续令能源需求前景蒙阴,油价持续在周线低点附近震荡。美国宣布对欧盟、日本、加拿大、墨西哥、韩国等主要贸易伙伴及另外17个国家实施对等关税,全球贸易和谐前景再添变数。美国总统特朗普因22国未能在90天关税休战期内达成协议而加征关税。与此同时,若欧盟未能在8月1日新期限前与美国达成协议,也已准备好对等反制措施。欧盟若对美国进口商品实施报复性措施恐加剧贸易紧张——特朗普早已警告,任何经济体采取反制都将招致额外关税。值得注意的是,随着进口商开始将关税成本转嫁给消费者,美国通胀压力加速上升。这令市场质疑美联储是否仍会在9月政策会议上降息,此种情景对油价构成利空。周二公布的6月消费者价格指数(CPI)报告显示,受进口商品价格飙升推动,美国总体通胀年率如预期骤升至2.7%。市场专家警告,当前价格压力仅反映部分行业关税的初步影响,特朗普政府对多国加征关税的全面效果尚未显现。这可能促使美联储官员要求更多时间评估关税对通胀的影响。(美原油9月期货日线图,来源:易汇通)北京时间13:56,美原油9月期货现报65.60美元/桶。
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