Despite an already strong run, Chervon Holdings Limited (HKG:2285) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.7% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Chervon Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Consumer Durables industry is similar at about 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
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Check out our latest analysis for Chervon Holdings
Chervon Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Chervon Holdings.There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Chervon Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's top line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.3% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.1% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it makes sense that Chervon Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Chervon Holdings' P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Chervon Holdings' revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Chervon Holdings that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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