智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，维持中国神华(01088)“增持”评级，目标价38港元。虽然国内煤炭供应充足可能限制价格反弹幅度，但价格改善及长期合同销量增加应有助于第三季维持稳健的盈利。同时，更高的股息支付和收益率为神华提供了另一个吸引投资者的角度。中国神华料上半年净利润跌13%至20%，第二季净利润预计为117亿至137亿元人民币(下同)，同比下降9至22%，好过该行预期的109亿元。
报告指，业绩疲弱主要受到煤炭总销量同比下降11%、现货动力煤价格同比下跌超20%以及同期电力销售量减少的拖累。但上半年长期合同销量增加及更好的生产成本控制有助于缓冲利润下降。大摩料，短期煤价或在夏季高峰期反弹。进入夏季，电厂每日煤炭消耗量逐步增加。市场动态方面，需求略有改善，港口煤炭库存下降，推动煤炭价格在传统消费旺季缓慢回升。
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.