报告摘要 问1:美股Q3季节效应有何规律?美股Q3调整的概率不低,特别是8-9月。背后的一些因素,包括财政年度末流动性紧张(企业财年结算、政府加速拨款等)、政治事件窗口(选举等)、政府Q3发债比例较高、新财年规模等政策不确定因素。 问2:当前美元资产在交易什么预期?美债:弱而不衰的降息预期。美股:抢跑降息,甚至复苏预期。 问3:今年Q3的主要风险点在哪?债务上限提高之后,财政部回补TGA账户...
Source Link报告摘要 问1:美股Q3季节效应有何规律?美股Q3调整的概率不低,特别是8-9月。背后的一些因素,包括财政年度末流动性紧张(企业财年结算、政府加速拨款等)、政治事件窗口(选举等)、政府Q3发债比例较高、新财年规模等政策不确定因素。 问2:当前美元资产在交易什么预期?美债:弱而不衰的降息预期。美股:抢跑降息,甚至复苏预期。 问3:今年Q3的主要风险点在哪?债务上限提高之后,财政部回补TGA账户...
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