There wouldn't be many who think Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:3898) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 12x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
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With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 21% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 72% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 11% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Discover if Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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