华鑫证券研报指出，中国中车预计2025年半年度将实现归母净利润67.22亿元—75.62亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加25.21亿元—33.61亿元，同比增长60%-80%。铁路投资高景气驱动，业绩稳步兑现。铁路投资高景气，动车组维保需求进入爆发期。2024年公司新签动车组销售订单602亿元，同比增长162.48%；动车组维修订单454亿元，同比增长523.93%，基于行业高景气度，预计铁路装备板块有望延续强势增长。业务结构优化，新产业+海外市场贡献增量。当前全球轨道交通行业回暖，呈稳步增长态势，同时各国加快推动绿色低碳发展、国家对高端装备“走出去”的政策支持，都为中车“双赛道双集群”产业“走出去”带来机会。从新签订单目标上看，公司2025年国际业务新签订单也预计在2024年基础上有所增长。考虑公司业绩释放良好，订单兑现能力较强，业务结构实现进一步优化，维持“买入”投资评级。
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