智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利发布研报称,中国燃气公用事业上半年表现平淡,天然气需求与去年同期持平,LNG进口量大幅下降,情况与2022年相似,受暖冬、高基数及煤价下跌影响,期内工业用气量增长疲弱。虽然居民气价上调约5%至8%,推动销气价差轻微改善,但新接驳业务亦持续拖累盈利。
大摩预期城市燃气企业中期盈利普遍持平,其中昆仑能源(00135)将跑赢同业,而华润燃气(01193)则相对逊色,因接驳及综合服务业务较为疲弱,将其今明两年盈利预测下调30%至35%,目标价由原先30港元降至19.2港元,评级“与大市同步”。
大摩看好昆仑能源的增长前景、估值较低且拥有优质资产负债表,预测其上半年盈利增幅达低单位数,评级“跑赢大市”;并相信中国燃气(00384)及香港中华煤气(00003)等高息股价将继续受追捧。
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