高盛经济学家不再预计英国央行会在9月份降息,该央行将采取更为谨慎的态度,然后到3月底前将基准利率下调至3%。
“考虑到抑制通胀的累积进展以及英国央行发出的更多降息信号,我们仍然认为8月7日降息的可能性很大,”在本周出人意料的高通胀数据公布后,Jari Stehn等经济学家在一份客户报告中写道。
他们现在预测从11月开始连续降息,3月达到3%的终端利率;此前,他们预计决策者将在从8月到明年2月的每次会议上都会下调关键利率。
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