Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By The AES Corporation's (NYSE:AES) Earnings Despite 25% Price Jump

Simply Wall St.
18 Jul

The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 23% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may still consider AES as a highly attractive investment with its 7.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

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Recent times have been advantageous for AES as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for AES

NYSE:AES Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think AES' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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How Is AES' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like AES' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 139% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.8% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that AES is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, AES' P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of AES' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for AES (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AES. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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