智通财经APP获悉，铝业股继续走高，截至发稿，中国宏桥(01378)涨3.38%，报21.4港元；中国铝业(02600)涨2.08%，报6.38港元；俄铝(00486)涨0.49%，报4.14港元。
消息面上，今年5月，几内亚政府大规模收回部分铝矿开采许可证，导致国际铝土矿供应紧张，价格波动加剧。7月，几内亚矿业部长宣布：50%的铝土矿出口必须由悬挂几内亚国旗的船舶运输，并成立国有航运公司专司运输，还同步推出几内亚铝土矿价格指数。7月17日，几内亚矿业部宣布再吊销45个矿石开采证。
中邮证券指出，虽然淡季情况下铝库存触底反弹，但是在中国“反内卷”交易下，工业金属情绪提振，电解铝走势较好。未来依然存在近两个月的淡季，库存可能出现持续累积。虽然逼仓逻辑可能会弱化，但抢出口逻辑仍在持续。我们依然看好电解铝价格走势。不过，反内卷交易下，氧化铝价格居高不下，叠加几内亚铝土矿的持续扰动，氧化铝价格走高或对存在氧化铝敞口的公司带来一定的影响，建议关注中国宏桥以及宏创控股。
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