(来源:申万宏源融成)市场对“反内卷”重视度明显上升,但对“内卷”的理解却有很大分歧;多数观点以供给侧改革的思维理解,但差之毫厘、谬以千里;除产量调控与自律约谈外,“反内卷”也有很多“隐藏手段”。误解“内卷内涵”:“反内卷”=“反过剩”?需求成因不同:“过剩”是需求下滑、供给被动过剩,“内卷”是需求强劲领域供给主动增加。供给侧改革前,地产基建需求走弱,高耗能行业产能被动过剩;当下外需表现更强,但外...
Source Link(来源:申万宏源融成)市场对“反内卷”重视度明显上升,但对“内卷”的理解却有很大分歧;多数观点以供给侧改革的思维理解,但差之毫厘、谬以千里;除产量调控与自律约谈外,“反内卷”也有很多“隐藏手段”。误解“内卷内涵”:“反内卷”=“反过剩”?需求成因不同:“过剩”是需求下滑、供给被动过剩,“内卷”是需求强劲领域供给主动增加。供给侧改革前,地产基建需求走弱,高耗能行业产能被动过剩;当下外需表现更强,但外...
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